Natural Disasters in Bull Run, VA

Hazard risk, disaster history, and FEMA data

Natural Hazard Risk

Source: FEMA National Risk Index

Risk Score

94.7

Relatively High

Expected Annual Loss

96.4

Score (0-100)

Social Vulnerability

11.4

Score (0-100)

Community Resilience

59.4

Score (0-100)

Scores range from 0 (lowest risk) to 100 (highest risk) relative to all U.S. communities. Data from FEMA National Risk Index.

Disaster History & Federal Spending

Source: FEMA

Total Declarations

18

Public Assistance

$165.6M

Individual Assistance

$2.4M

Most Common Type

Hurricane

5 declarations

Public Assistance by Category

Total: $179.8M
DisasterTypeDatePA $IA $
Covid-19 Pandemic โ†’BiologicalApr 2020$162.2M$2.4M
Covid-19 โ†’BiologicalMar 2020โ€”โ€”
Hurricane Florence โ†’HurricaneSep 2018โ€”โ€”
Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm โ†’SnowstormMar 2016โ€”โ€”
Hurricane Sandy โ†’HurricaneOct 2012โ€”โ€”
Severe Storms and Straight-line Winds โ†’Severe Storm(s)Jul 2012$167Kโ€”
The Remnants of Tropical Storm Lee โ†’Severe StormNov 2011โ€”โ€”
Severe Winter Storms and Snowstorms โ†’SnowstormApr 2010$3.2Mโ€”
Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm โ†’SnowstormFeb 2010$31Kโ€”
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding โ†’Severe StormJul 2006โ€”โ€”
Hurricane Katrina Evacuation โ†’HurricaneSep 2005โ€”โ€”
Hurricane Isabel โ†’HurricaneSep 2003โ€”$16K
Severe Winter Storm, Record/near Record โ€ฆ โ†’Severe StormMar 2003โ€”โ€”
Severe Winter Storms โ†’Severe StormFeb 2000โ€”โ€”
Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster Declaratiโ€ฆ โ†’HurricaneSep 1999โ€”โ€”
Blizzard of 96 (severe Snow Storm) โ†’SnowstormJan 1996โ€”โ€”
Severe Winter Storm โ†’SnowstormMar 1993โ€”โ€”
Ice Conditions โ†’FreezingJan 1977โ€”โ€”
Tropical Storm Agnes โ†’FloodJun 1972โ€”โ€”
Dr-4671Unknownโ€”โ€”$300

Showing 20 of 23 disasters

PA = FEMA Public Assistance (infrastructure recovery). IA = Individual Assistance (homeowner/renter aid).

Flood Insurance (NFIP)

Source: FEMA NFIP

Total Claims

1,486

Total Claims Paid

$16,492,039

Avg Claim Payout

$11,098

County-level NFIP data from FEMA National Flood Insurance Program.

Hazard Mitigation

Source: FEMA Hazard Mitigation Assistance

Mitigation Projects

3

Federal Funding

$1,031,536

Properties Protected

2

Avg Benefit-Cost Ratio

1.72

BCR

Top Mitigation Project Types

Project TypeProjectsFederal $
200.1: Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine2$919,036
91.1: Local Multihazard Mitigation Plan1$112,500

Federally funded projects to reduce future disaster risk. Only includes completed or obligated projects.

Bull Run has a relatively high overall natural hazard risk rating according to FEMA's National Risk Index. The top hazard risks are winter weather, lightning, heat wave. The area has had 18 federal disaster declarations. The most common disaster type is hurricane (5 declarations). 1,486 flood insurance claims have been filed in the area. FEMA has obligated $165,606,511 in public assistance recovery funding. $2,398,183 has been distributed in individual assistance to disaster-affected residents. 3 hazard mitigation projects have been funded to reduce future risk.