Population

Modesto

218,614

Bakersfield

408,366

Median Income

Modesto

$77,899

Bakersfield

$77,397

Home Value

Modesto

$415,600

Bakersfield

$347,300

Rent

Modesto

$1,609

Bakersfield

$1,371

Crime Rate

Modesto

6.56

Bakersfield

5.56

Cost of Living

Modesto

139.7

Bakersfield

131.1

Avg Temp

Modesto

N/A

Bakersfield

66°F

Unemployment

Modesto

7.3%

Bakersfield

7.0%

Loading map…

How Similar Are Modesto & Bakersfield?

Bakersfield is Modesto's #1 most similar city

7/10

7 of 10 key metrics match within 10%

Population

👥

Modesto

218,614

vs

Bakersfield

408,366

Different · 46% difference

Bakersfield has a 46% larger population than Modesto.

Violent Crime

Modesto

6.56

vs

Bakersfield

5.56

Different · 15% difference
🚨

Modesto has a 15% higher violent crime than Bakersfield.

Property Crime

🔒

Modesto

24.15

vs

Bakersfield

24.70

Match · 2% difference

Both cities have similar property crime — just a 2% difference.

Political Leaning

Modesto

54.2%

vs

Bakersfield

59.3%

Match · 9% difference
🗳️

Both cities lean Republican with similar vote shares — 9% difference.

Unemployment

💼

Modesto

7.3%

vs

Bakersfield

7.0%

Match · 5% difference

Both cities have similar unemployment — just a 5% difference.

Median Income

Modesto

$77,899

vs

Bakersfield

$77,397

Match · 1% difference
💰

Both cities have similar median income — just a 1% difference.

Home Values

🏠

Modesto

$415,600

vs

Bakersfield

$347,300

Different · 16% difference

Modesto has a 16% higher home values than Bakersfield.

Education

Modesto

13.3%

vs

Bakersfield

14.1%

Match · 5% difference
🎓

Both cities have similar education — just a 5% difference.

Demographics

🌍

Modesto

50.8%

vs

Bakersfield

46.9%

Match · 8% difference

Both cities have similar demographics — just a 8% difference.

Cost of Living

Modesto

139.7

vs

Bakersfield

131.1

Match · 6% difference
💵

Both cities have similar cost of living — just a 6% difference.

7 out of 10 key metrics match within 10%. Modesto and Bakersfield are remarkably similar cities.

At a Glance

0

Modesto

vsof 8

0

Bakersfield

Modesto leads in 5 of 8 categories

Cost of Living & Affordability — Bakersfield leads

Source: City Stats Index / HUD

Bakersfield has a fair market rent (1br) of $1,140 vs $1,356 in Modesto (19% lower). Bakersfield has a fair market rent (2br) of $1,483 vs $1,758 in Modesto (19% lower). Bakersfield scores 162.2 on the housing index (100 = national avg) vs 184.4 in Modesto.

Overall Cost Index

Modesto139.7
Bakersfield131.1

Housing Index

Modesto184.4
Bakersfield162.2

Food Index

Modesto109.5
Bakersfield109.2

Transportation Index

Modesto119.1
Bakersfield118.3

Healthcare Index

Modesto107.6
Bakersfield107.3

Utilities Index

Modesto122.6
Bakersfield117.9

Living Wage (1 Adult)

Modesto$61,476
Bakersfield$57,705

Living Wage (Family of 4)

Modesto$145,306
Bakersfield$136,394

Fair Market Rent (1BR)

Modesto$1,356
Bakersfield$1,140

Fair Market Rent (2BR)

Modesto$1,758
Bakersfield$1,483

Housing Market — Modesto leads

Source: U.S. Census Bureau ACS

Modesto has a median property tax of $2,727 vs $3,468 in Bakersfield (21% lower). Modesto has a median home value of $415,600 vs $347,300 in Bakersfield (20% higher). Bakersfield has a median rent of $1,371 vs $1,609 in Modesto (17% lower).

Median Home Value

Modesto$415,600
Bakersfield$347,300

Median Rent

Modesto$1,609
Bakersfield$1,371

Median Property Tax

Modesto$2,727
Bakersfield$3,468

Owner-Occupied

Modesto58.4%
Bakersfield60.1%

Vacancy Rate

Modesto4.1%
Bakersfield4.7%

Single-Family Homes

Modesto77.5%
Bakersfield74.8%

Jobs & Economy — Modesto leads

Source: U.S. Census Bureau ACS

Bakersfield: 188,139 vs Modesto: 103,220 for labor force. Modesto has a poverty rate of 13.0% compared to 16.0% in Bakersfield. Modesto has a per capita income of $34,656 vs $32,956 in Bakersfield (5% higher).

Median Household Income

Modesto$77,899
Bakersfield$77,397

Per Capita Income

Modesto$34,656
Bakersfield$32,956

Poverty Rate

Modesto13.0%
Bakersfield16.0%

Unemployment Rate

Modesto7.3%
Bakersfield7.0%

Labor Force

Modesto103,220
Bakersfield188,139

Mean Commute

ModestoN/A
BakersfieldN/A

Work from Home

Modesto7.3%
Bakersfield7.2%

Private Sector

Modesto95.6%
Bakersfield94.6%

Government Sector

Modesto44.3%
Bakersfield42.6%

Crime & Safety — Modesto leads

Source: FBI UCR

Modesto has a murder rate (per 1k) of 0.03 compared to 0.07 in Bakersfield. Modesto has a burglary rate (per 1k) of 2.67 compared to 5.38 in Bakersfield. Bakersfield has a larceny rate (per 1k) of 12.59 compared to 18.19 in Modesto.

Violent Crime Rate (per 1K)

Modesto6.56
Bakersfield5.56

Property Crime Rate (per 1K)

Modesto24.15
Bakersfield24.70

Murder Rate (per 1K)

Modesto0.03
Bakersfield0.07

Robbery Rate (per 1K)

Modesto1.13
Bakersfield1.26

Assault Rate (per 1K)

Modesto4.83
Bakersfield3.81

Burglary Rate (per 1K)

Modesto2.67
Bakersfield5.38

Larceny Rate (per 1K)

Modesto18.19
Bakersfield12.59

Violent Crime Clearance

Modesto64.8%
Bakersfield45.4%

Property Crime Clearance

Modesto11.1%
Bakersfield13.7%

Weather & Climate

Source: NOAA / Open-Meteo

Avg Annual Temperature

ModestoN/A
Bakersfield66°F

Avg Annual High

ModestoN/A
Bakersfield77°F

Avg Annual Low

ModestoN/A
Bakersfield54°F

Sunny Days per Year

ModestoN/A
Bakersfield303

Annual Rainfall

ModestoN/A
Bakersfield10.4"

Annual Snowfall

ModestoN/A
BakersfieldN/A

Avg Humidity

ModestoN/A
Bakersfield53.1%

Schools & Education

Source: NCES / U.S. Census Bureau

Modesto has a high school diploma or higher of 32.3% compared to 29.7% in Bakersfield. Bakersfield has a bachelor's degree or higher of 14.1% compared to 13.3% in Modesto.

Public Schools

Modesto0
Bakersfield0

Avg Student-Teacher Ratio

ModestoN/A
BakersfieldN/A

Colleges & Universities

Modesto0
Bakersfield0

Bachelor's Degree or Higher

Modesto13.3%
Bakersfield14.1%

High School Diploma or Higher

Modesto32.3%
Bakersfield29.7%

Demographics & Community

Source: U.S. Census Bureau ACS

Bakersfield has a population of 408,366, about 1.9x the size of Modesto (218,614). Bakersfield skews younger with a median age of 31.9 vs 35.4.

Population

Modesto218,614
Bakersfield408,366

Median Age

Modesto35
Bakersfield32

Avg Household Size

Modesto3.0
Bakersfield3.2

Married Population

Modesto36.7%
Bakersfield36.2%

Foreign Born

Modesto18.7%
Bakersfield19.9%

White

Modesto50.8%
Bakersfield46.9%

Black

Modesto4.7%
Bakersfield6.2%

Hispanic

Modesto43.9%
Bakersfield53.6%

Asian

Modesto7.4%
Bakersfield7.8%

Modesto

Bakersfield

Healthcare — Modesto leads

Source: CMS Hospital Compare

Modesto: 4 vs Bakersfield: 3 for with emergency services. Modesto: 2.3 vs Bakersfield: 2.0 for avg cms rating (out of 5).

Nearby Hospitals

Modesto5
Bakersfield5

Avg CMS Rating (out of 5)

Modesto2.3
Bakersfield2.0

With Emergency Services

Modesto4
Bakersfield3

Transportation & Commute — Modesto leads

Source: U.S. Census Bureau ACS

Modesto has a bicycle of 0.8% compared to 0.1% in Bakersfield. Modesto has a public transit of 1.1% compared to 0.6% in Bakersfield. Bakersfield has a drive alone of 80.4% compared to 76.6% in Modesto.

Mean Commute Time

ModestoN/A
BakersfieldN/A

Drive Alone

Modesto76.6%
Bakersfield80.4%

Public Transit

Modesto1.1%
Bakersfield0.6%

Bicycle

Modesto0.8%
Bakersfield0.1%

Work from Home

Modesto7.3%
Bakersfield7.2%

Airports

Modesto0
Bakersfield0

Cities Similar to Modesto, CA

Compare Modesto against its closest statistical matches across demographics, income, crime, health, and more.

🧬

City Comparison

8-axis fingerprint: population, income, housing, crime, education, age, climate, and cost of living. Click legend items to toggle.

PopulationIncomeHome ValueSafetyEducationMedian AgeClimateCost of Living

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